Language:English
Oviedo v Leganés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oviedo (Local)
Prediction 52.03%1.92fair odd
EV -0.628%
Edge -0.329%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.97%52.00%52.21%54.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.9160.61%55.85%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leganés (Visit)
Prediction 19.14%5.22fair odd
EV +4.72%
Edge +0.863%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 5.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.32%19.20%19.07%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.614.605.4725.64%21.67%21.74%18.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.827%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%28.79%28.72%29.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.68%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 52.03%; Leganés (Visit): 19.14%; Draw: 28.83%. For Leganés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.79%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +4.72%E +0.863%K +1.06%G +0.050% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.54%EV -5.73%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -11.55%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.47%E +0.277%K +0.341%G +0.005% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -0.448%E -0.086%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.06%E -3.22%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 14:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 11:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.81%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -7.72%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.11%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.24%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 06:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 06:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.47%E -5.44%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 11:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.60%EV -14.16%E -8.58%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 05:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 06:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -10.51%E -6.11%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -0.628%E -0.329%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -0.628%E -0.329%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.02%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -17.10%E -3.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-21 13:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.97%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -25.34%E -6.50%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.96%E -5.07%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |