Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo v Leganés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 15:00 UTC

Score final : Oviedo 0–1 Leganés

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 52.03%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.628%
Avantage -0.329%
Kelly -0.690%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.97%52.00%52.21%54.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.791.801.9160.61%55.85%55.56%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leganés (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.14%5.22cote équitable
EV +4.72%
Avantage +0.863%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 5.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.32%19.20%19.07%21.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.614.605.4725.64%21.67%21.74%18.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.83%3.47cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.583%
Kelly -0.827%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%28.79%28.72%29.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.68%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Oviedo (Local) : 52.03% ; Leganés (Visiteur) : 19.14% ; Match nul : 28.83%. Pour Leganés (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.22. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.47, soit une espérance positive de +4.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.79%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +4.72%E +0.863%K +1.06%G +0.050%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.54%EV -5.73%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -11.55%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.47%E +0.277%K +0.341%G +0.005%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:59
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -0.448%E -0.086%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.06%E -3.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:48
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 11:13
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.81%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:49
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -7.72%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.11%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:44
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.24%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 06:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 06:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.47%E -5.44%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.60%EV -14.16%E -8.58%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 06:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -10.51%E -6.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:50
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -0.628%E -0.329%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -0.628%E -0.329%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 13:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.02%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -17.10%E -3.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:09
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.97%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -25.34%E -6.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.96%E -5.07%K -7.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-22 14:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.64%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-08-22 14:10
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%0.8%2026-08-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 14:55
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40%1.9%2026-08-22 13:35