Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oviedo v Leganés

Início: 2026-08-22 15:00 UTC

Final: Oviedo 0–1 Leganés

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oviedo (Local)

Previsão 52.03%1.92odd justa
EV -0.628%
Vantagem -0.329%
Kelly -0.690%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.97%52.00%52.21%54.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.791.801.9160.61%55.85%55.56%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leganés (Visitante)

Previsão 19.14%5.22odd justa
EV +4.72%
Vantagem +0.863%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.32%19.20%19.07%21.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.614.605.4725.64%21.67%21.74%18.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.83%3.47odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.583%
Kelly -0.827%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.91%28.79%28.72%29.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.68%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oviedo (Local): 52.03%; Leganés (Visitante): 19.14%; Empate: 28.83%. Para Leganés (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.22. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.47, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.72%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.79%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.66%EV +4.72%E +0.863%K +1.06%G +0.050%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.54%EV -5.73%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.00%EV -11.55%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV +1.47%E +0.277%K +0.341%G +0.005%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:59
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -0.448%E -0.086%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.06%E -3.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.48%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -2.36%E -0.463%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 14:48
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.60%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.89%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 11:13
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.15%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.81%EV -7.39%E -4.15%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.28%E -0.855%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:49
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV -7.72%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -3.43%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.70%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.11%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:44
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.02%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.24%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.52%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.06%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 06:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.10%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 06:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.47%E -5.44%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.60%EV -14.16%E -8.58%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.47%EV -10.02%E -2.13%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 13:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 05:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 06:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -10.51%E -6.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.93%E -2.59%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -2.71%E -1.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.98%E -0.583%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -2.19%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:50
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.85%E -3.08%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -0.628%E -0.329%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -0.628%E -0.329%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 13:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.87%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.02%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -15.76%E -3.58%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 14:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -17.10%E -3.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.75%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -18.64%E -4.38%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.19%E -2.92%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:09
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.63%E -3.43%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-21 13:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -21.51%E -5.25%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.07%E -3.96%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.97%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -25.34%E -6.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -14.96%E -5.07%K -7.67%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-22 14:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.64%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-08-22 14:10
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.18%0.8%2026-08-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.47%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-22 14:55
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.95%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.40%1.9%2026-08-22 13:35