Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo v Granada CF

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Oviedo 0–0 Granada CF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo (Local)

Prediction 46.99%2.13fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%46.92%47.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.941.952.0257.14%51.62%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Granada CF (Visit)

Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.690%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%23.25%23.27%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.014.004.4027.03%24.94%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.75%3.36fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.794%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.43%29.82%29.73%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.003.3034.72%32.72%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oviedo (Local): 46.99%; Granada CF (Visit): 23.26%; Draw: 29.75%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.67%EV +1.88%E +0.429%K +0.556%G +0.010%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.33%EV -9.86%E -3.25%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.58%EV -0.911%E -0.214%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -14.48%E -7.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.84%E -4.56%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -3.47%E -0.836%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 16:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.90%EV -14.95%E -8.26%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.90%EV -14.95%E -8.26%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.80%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:53
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.80%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -1.83%E -0.553%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -17.77%E -10.15%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.71%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.12%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.12%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.89%EV -9.78%E -5.09%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -8.59%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.21%EV -11.35%E -3.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:44
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.42%EV -11.66%E -6.20%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.45%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -12.13%E -6.49%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.99%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -7.90%E -4.03%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 16:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:44
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -8.84%E -4.56%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-08-15 16:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-08-15 16:55