Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo v Granada CF

2026-08-15 17:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oviedo (Local)

Prediction 54.68%1.83fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.45%54.66%55.18%56.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.651.7664.10%60.30%60.42%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Granada CF (Visit)

Prediction 20.22%4.95fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.274%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.13%20.16%19.88%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.644.725.0024.69%21.57%21.16%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%25.18%24.94%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.603.8530.30%27.86%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oviedo (Local): 54.68%; Granada CF (Visit): 20.22%; Draw: 25.10%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.95. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -11.41%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV +1.10%E +0.219%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 15:55
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -10.32%E -6.29%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -0.926%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -11.41%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -0.926%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 16:03
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.18%EV -4.85%E -2.79%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.88%EV -2.34%E -0.485%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -3.37%E -0.876%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 19:19
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -6.49%E -3.80%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:14
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.92%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -11.41%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:04
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -11.41%E -7.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 16:03
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -14.15%E -9.01%K -24.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -3.96%E -0.833%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -17.18%E -5.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-03 15:55
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.59%E -4.49%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.13%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 19:04
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.25%EV -14.70%E -9.42%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -4.97%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-03 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.40%E -3.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -6.99%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 16:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -7.04%E -4.14%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-03 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.39%EV -14.70%E -9.42%K -26.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -9.01%E -2.00%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-03 15:55
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.83%EV -3.76%E -2.14%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.10%EV -9.22%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.07%EV -5.13%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:24
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -12.51%E -7.82%K -20.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -12.45%E -2.88%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-03 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -5.95%E -3.46%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -15.08%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.45%EV -8.68%E -5.20%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.63%EV -18.11%E -4.47%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.92%EV -15.17%E -4.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-03 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.