Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oviedo v Granada CF

Início: 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Oviedo 0–0 Granada CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oviedo (Local)

Previsão 46.99%2.13odd justa
EV -5.08%
Vantagem -2.52%
Kelly -4.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.45%46.92%47.00%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.941.952.0257.14%51.62%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Granada CF (Visitante)

Previsão 23.26%4.30odd justa
EV +2.35%
Vantagem +0.533%
Kelly +0.690%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.24%23.25%23.27%24.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.014.004.4027.03%24.94%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.75%3.36odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.553%
Kelly -0.794%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.43%29.82%29.73%31.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.063.003.3034.72%32.72%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oviedo (Local): 46.99%; Granada CF (Visitante): 23.26%; Empate: 29.75%. Para Granada CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.30. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.35%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.67%EV +1.88%E +0.429%K +0.556%G +0.010%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.33%EV -9.86%E -3.25%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.58%EV -0.911%E -0.214%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -14.48%E -7.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.84%E -4.56%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -3.47%E -0.836%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 16:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.90%EV -14.95%E -8.26%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.90%EV -14.95%E -8.26%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.80%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:53
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.80%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -1.83%E -0.553%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -17.77%E -10.15%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.71%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.12%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.12%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.89%EV -9.78%E -5.09%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -8.59%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.21%EV -11.35%E -3.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:44
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.42%EV -11.66%E -6.20%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.45%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -12.13%E -6.49%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.99%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -7.90%E -4.03%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 16:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:44
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -8.84%E -4.56%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-08-15 16:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-08-15 16:55