Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC

Score final : Oviedo 0–0 Granada CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Oviedo (Local)

Prévision 46.99%2.13cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -2.52%
Kelly -4.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%46.92%47.00%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.941.952.0257.14%51.62%51.28%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.26%4.30cote équitable
EV +2.35%
Avantage +0.533%
Kelly +0.690%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.24%23.25%23.27%24.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.014.004.4027.03%24.94%25.00%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.75%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -0.794%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.43%29.82%29.73%31.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.063.003.3034.72%32.72%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Oviedo (Local) : 46.99% ; Granada CF (Visiteur) : 23.26% ; Match nul : 29.75%. Pour Granada CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.30. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.35%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.35%E +0.533%K +0.690%G +0.016%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.67%EV +1.88%E +0.429%K +0.556%G +0.010%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.33%EV -9.86%E -3.25%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.63%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.58%EV -0.911%E -0.214%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.79%EV -3.91%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -13.07%E -7.06%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -14.48%E -7.96%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -2.31%E -0.549%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.84%E -4.56%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -3.47%E -0.836%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.36%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 16:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.90%EV -14.95%E -8.26%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.90%EV -14.95%E -8.26%K -18.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -4.63%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.51%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.80%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:53
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -5.80%E -1.43%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -5.08%E -2.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -1.83%E -0.553%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 16:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.40%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -17.77%E -10.15%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.71%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-15 16:54
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.12%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:44
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.12%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.89%EV -9.78%E -5.09%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -8.59%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.21%EV -11.35%E -3.81%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:44
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.42%EV -11.66%E -6.20%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.45%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -14.32%E -4.97%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -12.13%E -6.49%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.99%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.33%EV -7.90%E -4.03%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.25%E -5.37%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -6.02%E -3.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -6.96%E -3.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 16:39
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:44
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -8.37%E -4.29%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -8.84%E -4.56%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-08-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-15 16:45
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-08-15 16:55
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-08-15 16:55