Language:English
Málaga v Real Racing Club de Santander
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Málaga (Local)
Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.54%55.78%55.82%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.651.7265.36%61.17%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit)
Prediction 22.00%4.54fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.311%
Kelly +0.397%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 4.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.62%22.03%22.03%23.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.224.204.6126.32%23.68%23.81%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.18%4.51fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.92%22.19%22.15%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.134.204.3526.32%24.23%23.81%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Málaga (Local): 55.81%; Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit): 22.00%; Draw: 22.18%. For Real Racing Club de Santander (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.65%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.77%EV +1.43%E +0.311%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.66%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.70%EV -14.60%E -9.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.08%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.62%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.47%E -5.16%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 12:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 15:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.40%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -16.39%E -4.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.17% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.7% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.95% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |