La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Málaga v Real Racing Club de Santander
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Málaga (Local)
Predicción 55.81%1.79momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.54%55.78%55.82%57.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.631.651.7265.36%61.17%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visitante)
Predicción 22.00%4.54momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.397%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.62%22.03%22.03%23.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.224.204.6126.32%23.68%23.81%21.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.18%4.51momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.92%22.19%22.15%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.134.204.3526.32%24.23%23.81%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.65%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.77%EV +1.43%E +0.311%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.66%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.70%EV -14.60%E -9.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.08%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.62%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.47%E -5.16%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 12:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 13:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 15:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.40%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -16.39%E -4.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.17% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.7% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.95% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |