L’École des cotesFrançais
Málaga v Real Racing Club de Santander
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Málaga (Local)
Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -5.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.54%55.78%55.82%57.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.631.651.7265.36%61.17%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Racing Club de Santander (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.00%4.54cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.397%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.62%22.03%22.03%23.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.224.204.6126.32%23.68%23.81%21.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.18%4.51cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -0.805%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%22.19%22.15%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.134.204.3526.32%24.23%23.81%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.65%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.77%EV +1.43%E +0.311%K +0.397%G +0.006% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.66%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.70%EV -14.60%E -9.55%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.08%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.62%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.47%E -5.16%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 12:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 13:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 16:08 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-24 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 15:27 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:40 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-24 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.40%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -16.39%E -4.31%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.41% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.17% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.7% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.95% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-05-24 15:50 |