A Escola das Odds

Málaga v Real Racing Club de Santander

Início: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: Málaga 1–1 Real Racing Club de Santander

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Málaga (Local)

Previsão 55.81%1.79odd justa
EV -4.00%
Vantagem -2.33%
Kelly -5.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.54%55.78%55.82%57.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.631.651.7265.36%61.17%60.61%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Racing Club de Santander (Visitante)

Previsão 22.00%4.54odd justa
EV +1.43%
Vantagem +0.311%
Kelly +0.397%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.62%22.03%22.03%23.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.224.204.6126.32%23.68%23.81%21.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.18%4.51odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -0.805%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.92%22.19%22.15%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.134.204.3526.32%24.23%23.81%22.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.65%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.77%EV +1.43%E +0.311%K +0.397%G +0.006%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.58%EV -5.94%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:00
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -9.02%E -5.54%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -0.987%E -0.219%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.805%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:40
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:39
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 15:39
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -3.19%E -0.724%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.66%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.17%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -4.29%E -0.986%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-24 15:40
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.73%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -5.39%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 14:10
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.70%EV -14.60%E -9.55%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.77%EV -6.49%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -4.00%E -2.33%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 13:40
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 15:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 15:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 16:19
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.59%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 16:20
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.08%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.62%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.69%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -7.94%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 13:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:40
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.47%E -5.16%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 15:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.79%E -2.39%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -14.59%E -3.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 12:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 13:39
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.67%E -3.36%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:08
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.24%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -12.93%E -8.29%K -23.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.99%E -3.00%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 15:27
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.40%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -14.19%E -3.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.30%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 16:10
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.37%E -7.88%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -16.39%E -4.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-24 15:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.20%0.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.95%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-05-24 15:50