A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Málaga v Almería
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Málaga (Local)
Previsão 42.57%2.35odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.20%42.61%42.57%43.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.152.2750.00%46.29%46.51%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Almería (Visitante)
Previsão 28.04%3.57odd justa
EV +1.21%
Vantagem +0.336%
Kelly +0.465%
Crescimento +0.006%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.28%28.12%27.96%30.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.6133.33%30.57%30.30%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 29.39%3.40odd justa
EV -0.063%
Vantagem -0.019%
Kelly -0.026%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.76%29.27%29.47%31.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.133.103.4038.02%31.91%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.32%EV -6.77%E -3.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.28%EV +1.21%E +0.336%K +0.465%G +0.006% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -8.29%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -5.06%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.063%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -8.90%E -4.16%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.73%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 18:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.96%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.93%EV -9.44%E -2.92%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.00%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -3.00%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -12.31%E -5.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.48%EV -11.88%E -5.74%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.61%EV -12.70%E -4.28%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.20%EV -14.86%E -7.43%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.47%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -22.70%E -8.63%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |