L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Málaga v Almería
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Málaga (Local)
Prévision 42.57%2.35cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.20%42.61%42.57%43.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2750.00%46.29%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Almería (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.04%3.57cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.336%
Kelly +0.465%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.28%28.12%27.96%30.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.6133.33%30.57%30.30%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.39%3.40cote équitable
EV -0.063%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.026%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%29.27%29.47%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.133.103.4038.02%31.91%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.32%EV -6.77%E -3.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.28%EV +1.21%E +0.336%K +0.465%G +0.006% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -8.29%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -5.06%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.063%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -8.90%E -4.16%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.73%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 18:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.96%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.93%EV -9.44%E -2.92%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.00%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -3.00%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -12.31%E -5.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.48%EV -11.88%E -5.74%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.61%EV -12.70%E -4.28%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.20%EV -14.86%E -7.43%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.47%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -22.70%E -8.63%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |