مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Málaga v Almería
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Málaga (المضيف)
التنبؤ 42.57%2.35السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -1.48%
Kelly -2.65%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.20%42.61%42.57%43.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.162.152.2750.00%46.29%46.51%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Almería (الضيف)
التنبؤ 28.04%3.57السعر العادل
EV +1.21%
الأفضلية +0.336%
Kelly +0.465%
النمو +0.006%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.28%28.12%27.96%30.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.273.303.6133.33%30.57%30.30%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.39%3.40السعر العادل
EV -0.063%
الأفضلية -0.019%
Kelly -0.026%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.76%29.27%29.47%31.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.633.133.103.4038.02%31.91%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.32%EV -6.77%E -3.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.28%EV +1.21%E +0.336%K +0.465%G +0.006% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.41%EV -8.29%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -5.06%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.57%EV -3.59%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.063%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -8.90%E -4.16%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -12.73%E -6.21%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 18:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.96%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.93%EV -9.44%E -2.92%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.00%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -3.00%E -0.910%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.72%EV -12.31%E -5.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.48%EV -11.88%E -5.74%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.61%EV -12.70%E -4.28%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.47%E -1.38%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.35%E -2.89%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.20%EV -14.86%E -7.43%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.47%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -22.70%E -8.63%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.95% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.75% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-06-14 19:00 |