StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Las Palmas v AD Ceuta FC

Matchstart: 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Las Palmas (Hemma)

Prognos 58.09%1.72rättvist odds
EV -2.40%
Fördel -1.43%
Kelly -3.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.03%58.03%58.11%59.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.441.601.601.6869.44%62.64%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AD Ceuta FC (Borta)

Prognos 16.92%5.91rättvist odds
EV +1.50%
Fördel +0.250%
Kelly +0.299%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.85%16.95%16.89%18.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.325.256.0022.22%18.79%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.99%4.00rättvist odds
EV -1.29%
Fördel -0.325%
Kelly -0.436%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.92%25.02%25.00%26.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.623.603.9532.26%27.65%27.78%25.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Las Palmas (Hemma): 58.09%; AD Ceuta FC (Borta): 16.92%; Oavgjort: 24.99%. För AD Ceuta FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.91. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +1.50%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 12:54
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.29%EV +0.313%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.78%E -0.716%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 12:50
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.28%EV -1.38%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.29%E -0.325%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:55
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:10
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:09
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.53%E -0.650%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 12:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.58%E -0.628%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 12:09
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 12:09
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.68%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:50
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:49
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.09%EV -7.81%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.03%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -8.65%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 12:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:24
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 12:09
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 12:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.44%E -9.02%K -27.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:19
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:20
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:19
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -9.38%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.18%EV -16.35%E -11.35%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -17.53%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-08 12:49
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:55
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.70%E -7.70%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -17.11%E -3.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 55.03%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.34%EV -23.88%E -5.31%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.53%E -7.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:49
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-08 12:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.9%2026-03-08 12:24