مدرسة الاحتمالات

Las Palmas v AD Ceuta FC

البداية: 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Las Palmas (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.09%1.72السعر العادل
EV -2.40%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -3.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.03%58.03%58.11%59.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.601.601.6869.44%62.64%62.50%59.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AD Ceuta FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.92%5.91السعر العادل
EV +1.50%
الأفضلية +0.250%
Kelly +0.299%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.85%16.95%16.89%18.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.325.256.0022.22%18.79%19.05%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.99%4.00السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.325%
Kelly -0.436%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.92%25.02%25.00%26.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.623.603.9532.26%27.65%27.78%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +1.50%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 12:54
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.29%EV +0.313%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.78%E -0.716%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 12:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.28%EV -1.38%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.29%E -0.325%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:48
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:10
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:09
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.53%E -0.650%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 12:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.58%E -0.628%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:55
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 12:09
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 12:09
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.68%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:54
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.09%EV -7.81%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.03%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:09
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -8.65%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 12:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:19
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:25
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:24
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 12:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 12:55
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 12:48
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.44%E -9.02%K -27.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:19
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:19
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:19
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -9.38%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 12:54
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.18%EV -16.35%E -11.35%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -17.53%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-08 12:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:55
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:19
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 12:54
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.70%E -7.70%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -17.11%E -3.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.03%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.34%EV -23.88%E -5.31%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.53%E -7.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-08 12:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:49
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-08 12:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.9%2026-03-08 12:24