La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Las Palmas v AD Ceuta FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Palmas (Local)
Predicción 58.09%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.03%58.03%58.11%59.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.601.601.6869.44%62.64%62.50%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 16.92%5.91momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.250%
Kelly +0.299%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.85%16.95%16.89%18.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.325.256.0022.22%18.79%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.436%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.92%25.02%25.00%26.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.603.9532.26%27.65%27.78%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +1.50%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.29%EV +0.313%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.78%E -0.716%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.28%EV -1.38%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.29%E -0.325%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 12:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.53%E -0.650%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.58%E -0.628%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.68%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.09%EV -7.81%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.03%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -8.65%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 12:48 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.44%E -9.02%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -9.38%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.18%EV -16.35%E -11.35%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -17.53%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.70%E -7.70%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -17.11%E -3.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.03%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.34%EV -23.88%E -5.31%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.53%E -7.27%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |