L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Las Palmas v AD Ceuta FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Las Palmas (Local)
Prévision 58.09%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.03%58.03%58.11%59.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.601.601.6869.44%62.64%62.50%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AD Ceuta FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.92%5.91cote équitable
EV +1.50%
Avantage +0.250%
Kelly +0.299%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.85%16.95%16.89%18.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.325.256.0022.22%18.79%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.99%4.00cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.436%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.92%25.02%25.00%26.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.603.9532.26%27.65%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +1.50%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.004% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.29%EV +0.313%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.78%E -0.716%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.28%EV -1.38%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.29%E -0.325%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 12:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 12:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.53%E -0.650%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.58%E -0.628%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.68%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.09%EV -7.81%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.03%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -8.65%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 12:48 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.44%E -9.02%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -9.38%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.18%EV -16.35%E -11.35%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -17.53%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-08 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.70%E -7.70%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -17.11%E -3.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.03%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.34%EV -23.88%E -5.31%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.53%E -7.27%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:49 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 12:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 12:24 |