A Escola das Odds

Las Palmas v AD Ceuta FC

Início: 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Las Palmas (Local)

Previsão 58.09%1.72odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.43%
Kelly -3.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.03%58.03%58.11%59.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.601.601.6869.44%62.64%62.50%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)

Previsão 16.92%5.91odd justa
EV +1.50%
Vantagem +0.250%
Kelly +0.299%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.85%16.95%16.89%18.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.325.256.0022.22%18.79%19.05%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.99%4.00odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.436%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.92%25.02%25.00%26.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.623.603.9532.26%27.65%27.78%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +1.50%E +0.250%K +0.299%G +0.004%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 12:54
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.29%EV +0.313%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -2.78%E -0.716%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 12:50
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.28%EV -1.38%E -0.236%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -1.29%E -0.325%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 12:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.69%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:48
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -1.89%E -0.325%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:00
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:10
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:09
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -2.53%E -0.650%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.73%E -0.475%K -0.575%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 12:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.68%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -3.58%E -0.628%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:55
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 12:09
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 12:09
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.68%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:54
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:55
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.28%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:49
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.53%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 12:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -6.96%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.09%EV -7.81%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.04%EV -7.03%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:09
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.11%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -8.65%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.78%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 12:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:19
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:25
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 12:24
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 12:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 12:55
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.96%E -6.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -11.12%E -7.27%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -11.19%E -2.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 12:48
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.44%E -9.02%K -27.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -12.04%E -2.31%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:49
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:19
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:19
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:20
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.07%EV -4.73%E -2.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.01%EV -5.31%E -3.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 12:19
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.16%EV -5.89%E -3.64%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -9.38%E -6.01%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 12:49
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.05%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 12:54
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.18%EV -16.35%E -11.35%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.43%EV -13.73%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.39%EV -17.53%E -5.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-08 12:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -4.15%E -2.51%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:55
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.05%E -4.41%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.91%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -13.78%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 12:19
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -15.42%E -3.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 12:54
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -11.70%E -7.70%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -17.11%E -3.49%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.03%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.03%EV -12.86%E -8.57%K -25.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.34%EV -23.88%E -5.31%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.63%EV -22.53%E -7.27%K -10.73%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-08 12:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:49
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-08 12:55
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-08 12:55
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.9%2026-03-08 12:24