Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF v Mallorca

Kickoff: 2026-08-24 19:30 UTC

Final: Granada CF 2–0 Mallorca

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Granada CF (Local)

Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.571%
Kelly +0.827%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%31.45%31.47%32.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.942.943.2335.71%33.99%34.01%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mallorca (Visit)

Prediction 37.66%2.66fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.73%37.70%37.69%39.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.422.5643.48%41.18%41.32%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.81%3.25fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.938%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.99%30.85%30.83%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.1535.71%33.67%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Granada CF (Local): 31.53%; Mallorca (Visit): 37.66%; Draw: 30.81%. For Granada CF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV +1.84%E +0.571%K +0.827%G +0.015%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -7.35%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -8.50%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -0.993%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.15%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.96%E -0.938%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 19:09
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:44
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.86%E -3.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -10.04%E -3.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 12:28
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.86%E -3.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -10.04%E -3.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:20
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:19
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -7.30%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.09%E -2.02%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 19:09
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:59
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:59
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 19:09
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 19:23
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.73%EV -5.47%E -2.18%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:18
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:44
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.74%E -4.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 18:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.74%E -4.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-08-24 19:10
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.68%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-08-24 18:34