默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Granada CF v Mallorca

开赛时间: 2026-08-24 19:30 UTC

最终结果: Granada CF 2–0 Mallorca

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Granada CF (主队)

预测 31.53%3.17公平赔率
EV +1.84%
优势 +0.571%
Kelly +0.827%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 3.23

博彩公司预测分布
29.41%31.45%31.47%32.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.942.943.2335.71%33.99%34.01%30.96%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mallorca (客队)

预测 37.66%2.66公平赔率
EV -3.59%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -2.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.56

博彩公司预测分布
36.73%37.70%37.69%39.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.432.422.5643.48%41.18%41.32%39.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.81%3.25公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -0.938%
Kelly -1.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.99%30.85%30.83%32.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.972.953.1535.71%33.67%33.90%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Granada CF (主队):31.53%;Mallorca (客队):37.66%;平局:30.81%。 对于“Granada CF (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.17。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.23,对应+1.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV +1.84%E +0.571%K +0.827%G +0.015%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -7.35%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -8.50%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -0.993%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.15%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.96%E -0.938%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 19:09
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:44
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.86%E -3.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -10.04%E -3.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 12:28
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.86%E -3.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -10.04%E -3.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:20
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:19
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -7.30%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.09%E -2.02%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 19:09
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:59
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:59
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 19:09
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 19:23
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.73%EV -5.47%E -2.18%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:18
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:44
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.74%E -4.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 18:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.74%E -4.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 18:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-08-24 19:10
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.68%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-08-24 18:34