Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Granada CF v Mallorca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-24 19:30 UTC

Score final : Granada CF 2–0 Mallorca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Granada CF (Local)

Prévision 31.53%3.17cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.571%
Kelly +0.827%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%31.45%31.47%32.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.942.943.2335.71%33.99%34.01%30.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mallorca (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.66%2.66cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.73%37.70%37.69%39.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.422.5643.48%41.18%41.32%39.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.81%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.938%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.99%30.85%30.83%32.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.972.953.1535.71%33.67%33.90%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Granada CF (Local) : 31.53% ; Mallorca (Visiteur) : 37.66% ; Match nul : 30.81%. Pour Granada CF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.17. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.23, soit une espérance positive de +1.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV +1.84%E +0.571%K +0.827%G +0.015%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.61%EV -7.35%E -2.99%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -8.50%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.85%EV -0.993%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.15%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.75%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.96%E -0.938%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 19:09
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:44
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.86%E -3.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -10.04%E -3.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 12:28
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.86%E -3.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -10.04%E -3.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:20
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -3.59%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:19
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -3.96%E -1.55%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.04%E -1.98%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.50%E -4.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -7.30%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.09%E -2.02%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -8.19%E -2.75%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.50%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 19:09
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 12:29
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:59
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 18:59
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 19:09
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 19:23
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.73%EV -5.47%E -2.18%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -9.12%E -3.09%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-24 19:18
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 19:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -13.74%E -4.91%K -7.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-24 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.81%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:44
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.61%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.58%E -2.53%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 18:44
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.74%E -4.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 18:44
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.74%E -4.53%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.66%E -3.68%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-08-24 19:24
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.47%0.9%2026-08-24 19:10
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.68%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-08-24 18:34