The School of Odds
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Girona FC v Albacete

2026-09-25 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Girona FC (Local)

Prediction 62.89%1.59fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.76%62.94%62.86%64.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.491.501.5774.63%66.92%66.89%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albacete (Visit)

Prediction 16.10%6.21fair odd
EV -0.972%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.189%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.62%16.11%16.11%17.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.465.456.1520.41%18.32%18.35%16.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.00%4.76fair odd
EV -0.231%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%20.95%21.03%23.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.164.184.7527.40%24.06%23.95%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Girona FC (Local): 62.89%; Albacete (Visit): 16.10%; Draw: 21.00%. For Albacete (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.15, with an expected value of -0.972%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -1.26%E -0.800%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -1.26%E -0.800%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -1.26%E -0.800%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -1.26%E -0.800%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -1.26%E -0.800%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -15.98%E -4.00%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -3.14%E -2.04%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -17.88%E -3.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -19.13%E -4.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -3.14%E -2.04%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -17.88%E -3.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -19.13%E -4.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -3.14%E -2.04%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -17.88%E -3.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -19.13%E -4.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -3.14%E -2.04%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -17.88%E -3.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -19.13%E -4.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.40%E -2.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.39%E -0.565%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 19:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -4.40%E -2.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -4.40%E -2.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -17.88%E -3.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -20.18%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -4.40%E -2.90%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -17.88%E -3.51%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -20.18%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:24
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.60%EV -5.03%E -3.33%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.62%EV -0.972%E -0.158%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.79%EV -2.96%E -0.641%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.85%EV -5.03%E -3.33%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -20.18%E -5.31%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.66%E -3.77%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 19:54
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.66%E -3.77%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.78%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.73%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 19:49
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.71%EV -7.55%E -5.13%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.71%EV -4.03%E -0.676%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -4.43%E -0.974%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -7.55%E -5.13%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.41%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -5.48%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.55%E -5.13%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.55%E -5.13%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 19:45
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.97%EV -8.17%E -5.60%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 19:49
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -8.17%E -5.60%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.68%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 19:54
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.67%EV -8.17%E -5.60%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -9.68%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 19:55
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.13%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -7.58%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.65%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -9.83%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -9.68%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.06%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.48%EV -21.10%E -4.31%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.46%EV -23.34%E -6.39%K -8.81%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-19 19:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.44%E -2.08%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -9.05%E -2.09%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 19:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -18.08%E -4.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-19 19:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.47%EV -11.32%E -8.03%K -27.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -13.05%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.22%EV -12.83%E -3.09%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-19 19:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 62.05%EV -15.72%E -11.73%K -46.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.63%EV -19.49%E -3.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.32%EV -18.08%E -4.64%K -6.24%G +0.000%20.3%2026-09-19 19:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 61.39%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.76%16.4%2026-09-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-19 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-19 19:30