Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Girona FC v Albacete

2026-09-25 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Girona FC (Local)

Prévision 59.21%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -6.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.84%59.23%59.22%60.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.551.571.6270.92%64.64%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Albacete (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.65%5.36cote équitable
EV +2.57%
Avantage +0.467%
Kelly +0.571%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.27%18.61%18.60%20.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.965.005.5022.73%20.17%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.642%
Kelly -0.831%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.55%22.16%22.18%23.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.014.004.3927.40%24.91%25.00%22.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Girona FC (Local) : 59.21% ; Albacete (Visiteur) : 18.65% ; Match nul : 22.14%. Pour Albacete (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.36. 6 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.50, pour une espérance positive de +2.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -6.44%E -4.08%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +2.57%E +0.467%K +0.571%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:29
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -6.44%E -4.08%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.09%E -0.398%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 20:29
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.31%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.80%EV -4.70%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.89%EV -2.82%E -0.642%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:34
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.29%EV -8.22%E -5.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -10.34%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 20:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.29%EV -8.22%E -5.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -10.34%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -10.59%E -7.01%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 20:29
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.76%EV -5.82%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.63%E -4.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 20:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.18%E -7.45%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.85%EV -10.59%E -7.01%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 20:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.06%EV -14.14%E -9.75%K -31.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.48%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.46%EV -19.20%E -5.26%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-19 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 20:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.48%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.97%EV -11.77%E -7.90%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -11.42%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -12.35%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.21%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -11.18%E -7.45%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.08%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 20:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -11.18%E -7.45%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.08%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-19 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 59.02%EV -16.51%E -11.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.49%EV -16.08%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -18.09%E -4.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-19 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%16.5%2026-09-19 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.86%153.5%2026-09-19 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.86%153.5%2026-09-19 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.86%153.5%2026-09-19 20:25