Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Girona FC v Albacete

2026-09-25 18:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Girona FC (Local)

Previsão 59.21%1.69odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -2.51%
Kelly -6.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.84%59.23%59.22%60.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.411.551.571.6270.92%64.64%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Albacete (Visitante)

Previsão 18.65%5.36odd justa
EV +2.57%
Vantagem +0.467%
Kelly +0.571%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.27%18.61%18.60%20.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.965.005.5022.73%20.17%20.00%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.14%4.52odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -0.831%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.55%22.16%22.18%23.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.014.004.3927.40%24.91%25.00%22.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Girona FC (Local): 59.21%; Albacete (Visitante): 18.65%; Empate: 22.14%. Para Albacete (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 5.36. 6 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 5.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -6.44%E -4.08%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +2.57%E +0.467%K +0.571%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 20:29
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV +0.706%E +0.131%K +0.160%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 19:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -6.44%E -4.08%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.09%E -0.398%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 20:29
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.31%EV -4.07%E -2.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.80%EV -4.70%E -0.920%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.89%EV -2.82%E -0.642%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 20:34
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.29%EV -8.22%E -5.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -10.34%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 20:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.29%EV -8.22%E -5.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -10.34%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -10.59%E -7.01%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 20:29
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:24
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:25
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.76%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -14.77%E -3.84%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.89%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -4.89%E -0.959%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.76%EV -5.82%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.85%E -3.68%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.81%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 20:29
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.63%E -4.89%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.92%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 20:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.18%E -7.45%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.02%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.85%EV -10.59%E -7.01%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -6.75%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 20:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -8.81%E -5.72%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.06%EV -14.14%E -9.75%K -31.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.48%EV -8.62%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.46%EV -19.20%E -5.26%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-19 19:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -5.26%E -3.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.48%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 20:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.48%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.97%EV -11.77%E -7.90%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -11.42%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 20:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.03%EV -10.00%E -6.58%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.09%EV -12.35%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.88%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 20:29
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -14.21%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.24%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -11.18%E -7.45%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.08%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -11.45%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 20:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -11.18%E -7.45%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.08%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.88%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-19 20:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 59.02%EV -16.51%E -11.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.49%EV -16.08%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.49%EV -18.09%E -4.89%K -6.70%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-19 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.03%E -4.48%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.94%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.67%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 20:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%16.5%2026-09-19 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.86%153.5%2026-09-19 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.86%153.5%2026-09-19 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.23I 81.30%NM 32.07%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.86%153.5%2026-09-19 20:25