Language:English
Celta Fortuna v SD Eibar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV +0.810%
Edge +0.224%
Kelly +0.309%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.80%27.87%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.203.6235.71%31.10%31.25%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SD Eibar (Visit)
Prediction 43.39%2.30fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.840%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.59%43.47%43.40%45.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2850.00%46.66%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%28.73%28.73%29.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.46%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celta Fortuna (Local): 27.85%; SD Eibar (Visit): 43.39%; Draw: 28.76%. For Celta Fortuna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.810%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV +0.810%E +0.224%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.13%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -10.19%E -4.92%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.21%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.89%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.97%EV -8.66%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.20%E -0.648%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 05:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -7.15%E -3.34%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -11.72%E -3.70%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.97%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -19.24%E -6.63%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -22.03%E -7.87%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 1.6% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |