语言:简体中文
Celta Fortuna v SD Eibar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Celta Fortuna (主队)
预测 27.85%3.59公平赔率
EV +0.810%
优势 +0.224%
Kelly +0.309%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.62
博彩公司预测分布
26.24%27.80%27.87%30.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.223.203.6235.71%31.10%31.25%27.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
SD Eibar (客队)
预测 43.39%2.30公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.472%
Kelly -0.840%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.28
博彩公司预测分布
40.59%43.47%43.40%45.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.142.152.2850.00%46.66%46.51%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.76%3.48公平赔率
EV -2.20%
优势 -0.648%
Kelly -0.918%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.83%28.73%28.73%29.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.46%31.75%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Celta Fortuna (主队)：27.85%；SD Eibar (客队)：43.39%；平局：28.76%。 对于“Celta Fortuna (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.59。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.62，对应+0.810%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV +0.810%E +0.224%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.13%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -10.19%E -4.92%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.21%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.89%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.97%EV -8.66%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.20%E -0.648%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 05:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -7.15%E -3.34%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -11.72%E -3.70%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.97%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -19.24%E -6.63%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -22.03%E -7.87%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 1.6% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |