Langue:Français
Celta Fortuna v SD Eibar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Celta Fortuna (Local)
Prévision 27.85%3.59cote équitable
EV +0.810%
Avantage +0.224%
Kelly +0.309%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.80%27.87%30.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.203.6235.71%31.10%31.25%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
SD Eibar (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.39%2.30cote équitable
EV -1.08%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -0.840%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.59%43.47%43.40%45.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2850.00%46.66%46.51%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.76%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%28.73%28.73%29.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.153.4033.33%31.46%31.75%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Celta Fortuna (Local) : 27.85% ; SD Eibar (Visiteur) : 43.39% ; Match nul : 28.76%. Pour Celta Fortuna (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.59. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.62, soit une espérance positive de +0.810%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV +0.810%E +0.224%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.13%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-14 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-14 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -3.92%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -10.19%E -4.92%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.21%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.89%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.97%EV -8.66%E -2.64%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -2.38%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.20%E -0.648%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 05:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-14 18:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.72%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.39%EV -7.15%E -3.34%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.20%EV -11.72%E -3.70%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.97%EV -9.75%E -4.69%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -12.28%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-14 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -15.06%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -1.08%E -0.472%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -3.24%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 17:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 17:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -17.85%E -6.05%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -4.55%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.39%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -19.24%E -6.63%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.73%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.65%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -22.03%E -7.87%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-14 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-14 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.15% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95% | 1.6% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |