Language:English
CD Castellón v Cádiz CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 76.05%1.32fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -12.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.94%76.07%76.04%78.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.221.221.2789.29%81.95%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cádiz CF (Visit)
Prediction 8.72%11.47fair odd
EV +11.14%
Edge +0.874%
Kelly +0.948%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 12.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.31%8.77%8.66%10.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.019.5012.7511.76%9.99%10.53%7.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.24%6.56fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +0.952%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.56%15.16%15.31%18.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.915.857.0022.22%16.92%17.09%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 76.05%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 8.72%; Draw: 15.24%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.47. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.34%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.31%EV +11.14%E +0.874%K +0.948%G +0.106% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 12.46I 8.03%NM 7.76%EV +8.61%E +0.691%K +0.752%G +0.065% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.94%EV -1.41%E -0.218%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.18%E -3.32%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +6.66%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.95%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -14.83%E -13.24%K -123.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -7.05%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.57%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.96%EV -7.60%E -0.717%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.47%EV -0.041%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.40%EV -10.27%E -8.70%K -57.04%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.13%EV -15.01%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 18:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 14:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.26%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-15 17:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 71.94%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.35%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.71%EV -31.43%E -6.98%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.85%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.30%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.84%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.53% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 17:30 |