L’École des cotesCD Castellón v Cádiz CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
CD Castellón (Local)
Prévision 76.05%1.32cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -2.69%
Kelly -12.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.94%76.07%76.04%78.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.221.221.2789.29%81.95%81.97%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cádiz CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 8.72%11.47cote équitable
EV +11.14%
Avantage +0.874%
Kelly +0.948%
Croissance +0.106%
avec la cote maximale 12.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.31%8.77%8.66%10.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.019.5012.7511.76%9.99%10.53%7.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.24%6.56cote équitable
EV +6.66%
Avantage +0.952%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.074%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.56%15.16%15.31%18.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.915.857.0022.22%16.92%17.09%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.34%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.31%EV +11.14%E +0.874%K +0.948%G +0.106% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 12.46I 8.03%NM 7.76%EV +8.61%E +0.691%K +0.752%G +0.065% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.94%EV -1.41%E -0.218%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-15 18:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.18%E -3.32%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 14:34 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +6.66%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.95%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:09 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -14.83%E -13.24%K -123.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -7.05%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.57%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.96%EV -7.60%E -0.717%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.47%EV -0.041%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.40%EV -10.27%E -8.70%K -57.04%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.13%EV -15.01%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 18:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 14:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 14:33 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.26%K -28.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-15 17:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 71.94%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.35%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.71%EV -31.43%E -6.98%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.85%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.30%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.84%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.53% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 18:26 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 17:30 |