مدرسة الاحتمالات

CD Castellón v Cádiz CF

البداية: 2026-05-15 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: CD Castellón 1–1 Cádiz CF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CD Castellón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 76.05%1.32السعر العادل
EV -3.42%
الأفضلية -2.69%
Kelly -12.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.94%76.07%76.04%78.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.221.221.2789.29%81.95%81.97%78.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cádiz CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 8.72%11.47السعر العادل
EV +11.14%
الأفضلية +0.874%
Kelly +0.948%
النمو +0.106%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.31%8.77%8.66%10.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5010.019.5012.7511.76%9.99%10.53%7.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.24%6.56السعر العادل
EV +6.66%
الأفضلية +0.952%
Kelly +1.11%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.56%15.16%15.31%18.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.915.857.0022.22%16.92%17.09%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.34%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.31%EV +11.14%E +0.874%K +0.948%G +0.106%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:26
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%12.46I 8.03%NM 7.76%EV +8.61%E +0.691%K +0.752%G +0.065%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.94%EV -1.41%E -0.218%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 18:15
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 18:14
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:26
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:26
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:20
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:20
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.18%E -3.32%K -16.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 14:34
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +6.66%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.3%2026-05-15 18:20
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.95%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:25
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:15
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:09
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:26
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -14.83%E -13.24%K -123.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -7.05%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 18:26
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.57%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.96%EV -7.60%E -0.717%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.47%EV -0.041%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 18:20
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:26
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 16:09
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.40%EV -10.27%E -8.70%K -57.04%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.13%EV -15.01%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 18:24
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 18:26
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 18:26
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:26
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:26
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 14:35
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 14:33
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 18:26
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 18:15
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:25
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.26%K -28.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:26
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 18:25
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 18:26
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-15 17:39
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 18:26
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 71.94%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.35%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.71%EV -31.43%E -6.98%K -8.98%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-15 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:20
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.85%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.30%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.84%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-15 18:26
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-15 18:26
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.53%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-05-15 17:30