A Escola das Odds

CD Castellón v Cádiz CF

Início: 2026-05-15 18:30 UTC

Final: CD Castellón 1–1 Cádiz CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Previsão 76.05%1.32odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -2.69%
Kelly -12.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.94%76.07%76.04%78.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.221.221.2789.29%81.95%81.97%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cádiz CF (Visitante)

Previsão 8.72%11.47odd justa
EV +11.14%
Vantagem +0.874%
Kelly +0.948%
Crescimento +0.106%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.31%8.77%8.66%10.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5010.019.5012.7511.76%9.99%10.53%7.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 15.24%6.56odd justa
EV +6.66%
Vantagem +0.952%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.56%15.16%15.31%18.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.915.857.0022.22%16.92%17.09%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.34%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.31%EV +11.14%E +0.874%K +0.948%G +0.106%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 18:26
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%12.46I 8.03%NM 7.76%EV +8.61%E +0.691%K +0.752%G +0.065%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.94%EV -1.41%E -0.218%K -0.258%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-15 18:15
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 18:14
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:26
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +4.61%E +0.384%K +0.419%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:26
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:20
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +0.247%E +0.021%K +0.023%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.53%E -0.891%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:20
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -4.18%E -3.32%K -16.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 14:34
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +6.66%E +0.952%K +1.11%G +0.074%5.3%2026-05-15 18:20
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.95%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -4.00%E -0.635%K -0.755%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:25
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.69%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 18:15
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:09
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:20
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:25
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:26
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.80%EV -14.83%E -13.24%K -123.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -4.11%E -0.374%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.28%EV -7.05%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 18:26
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.57%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.96%EV -7.60%E -0.717%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.47%EV -0.041%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 18:20
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.83%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:26
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -8.47%E -0.807%K -0.892%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:10
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 16:09
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -12.83%E -1.28%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.40%EV -10.27%E -8.70%K -57.04%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.13%EV -15.01%E -1.54%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 18:24
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 18:26
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 18:26
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:26
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -3.42%E -2.69%K -12.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -11.62%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 18:26
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.13%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 14:35
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -16.19%E -2.94%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 14:33
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.43%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -0.955%E -0.147%K -0.174%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 18:26
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -17.19%E -1.81%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -8.57%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 18:15
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -4.94%E -3.95%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:26
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -5.70%E -4.60%K -23.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 18:25
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -6.46%E -5.26%K -28.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:26
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 18:25
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.89%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -14.67%E -2.62%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 18:26
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -8.75%E -7.29%K -43.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-15 17:39
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -9.51%E -7.99%K -50.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 18:26
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.26%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.65%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.09%EV -17.72%E -3.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 71.94%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.35%EV -21.55%E -2.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.71%EV -31.43%E -6.98%K -8.98%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-15 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:20
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:20
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.22%E -5.92%K -32.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -12.38%E -2.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.85%EV -11.03%E -9.42%K -64.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.30%EV -25.90%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.84%EV -10.10%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-15 18:26
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.40%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.4%2026-05-15 18:26
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-05-15 18:26
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.53%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.33%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.1%2026-05-15 18:26
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.39%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.85%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-05-15 17:30