Language:English
CD Castellón v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CD Castellón (Local)
Prediction 56.05%1.78fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%56.01%56.02%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.651.7563.69%60.12%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 18.57%5.38fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.392%
Kelly +0.480%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.06%18.60%18.58%20.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.854.755.5022.73%20.63%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.37%3.94fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.811%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%25.39%25.40%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.01%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CD Castellón (Local): 56.05%; Burgos CF (Visit): 18.57%; Draw: 25.37%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +2.16%E +0.392%K +0.480%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.10%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.84%EV +0.487%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.56%E -0.294%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.00%EV -2.11%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.20%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.61%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -12.00%E -7.64%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.48%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.00%E -4.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |