L’École des cotes

CD Castellón v Burgos CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 16:34 UTC

Score final : CD Castellón 3–1 Burgos CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CD Castellón (Local)

Prévision 56.05%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.70%56.01%56.02%57.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.661.651.7563.69%60.12%60.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Burgos CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.57%5.38cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.392%
Kelly +0.480%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.06%18.60%18.58%20.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.854.755.5022.73%20.63%21.05%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.37%3.94cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -0.811%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.39%25.40%26.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.01%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +2.16%E +0.392%K +0.480%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 16:30
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.10%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.84%EV +0.487%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 16:29
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.56%E -0.294%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:29
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.00%EV -2.11%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 16:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 16:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:29
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.20%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.61%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:29
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:29
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:28
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -12.00%E -7.64%K -21.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:29
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:30
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:30
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 16:31
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:31
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.48%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 16:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:29
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:29
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:31
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 16:31
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.00%E -4.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-04-18 16:31
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-04-18 16:30