La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
CD Castellón v Burgos CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
CD Castellón (Local)
Predicción 56.05%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.70%56.01%56.02%57.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.651.7563.69%60.12%60.61%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Burgos CF (Visitante)
Predicción 18.57%5.38momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.392%
Kelly +0.480%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.06%18.60%18.58%20.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.854.755.5022.73%20.63%21.05%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.37%3.94momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.811%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.76%25.39%25.40%26.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.01%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +2.16%E +0.392%K +0.480%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.10%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.84%EV +0.487%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.56%E -0.294%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.00%EV -2.11%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.20%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.61%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:28 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -12.00%E -7.64%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.48%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.00%E -4.48%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 16:31 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |