مدرسة الاحتمالات

CD Castellón v Burgos CF

البداية: 2026-04-18 16:34 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: CD Castellón 3–1 Burgos CF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CD Castellón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.05%1.78السعر العادل
EV -1.91%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -2.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.70%56.01%56.02%57.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.661.651.7563.69%60.12%60.61%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Burgos CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.57%5.38السعر العادل
EV +2.16%
الأفضلية +0.392%
Kelly +0.480%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.06%18.60%18.58%20.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.854.755.5022.73%20.63%21.05%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.37%3.94السعر العادل
EV -2.31%
الأفضلية -0.601%
Kelly -0.811%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.76%25.39%25.40%26.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.01%28.17%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +2.16%E +0.392%K +0.480%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 16:30
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.10%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.84%EV +0.487%E +0.090%K +0.110%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%EV -2.31%E -0.601%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 16:29
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.56%E -0.294%K -0.362%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:29
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.80%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.00%EV -2.11%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.20%EV -8.15%E -2.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 16:29
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.49%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.58%E -0.942%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 16:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:29
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 56.97%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -3.41%E -0.657%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 16:29
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.20%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.61%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:29
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.85%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.47%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:29
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:28
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 16:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 16:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.12%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 16:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -12.00%E -7.64%K -21.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -7.13%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:29
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.81%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -8.06%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 16:30
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.29%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 16:30
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 16:30
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -10.84%E -2.26%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 16:31
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -5.27%E -3.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -7.39%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 16:31
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 16:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.32%E -6.45%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -11.77%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -8.07%E -4.92%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.27%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.92%E -2.80%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.48%EV -9.76%E -6.06%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -12.70%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 16:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.75%EV -4.15%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -4.71%E -2.77%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:29
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:29
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -7.51%E -4.55%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.56%E -3.16%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 16:31
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -6.39%E -3.83%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.73%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 16:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.42%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.66%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -9.20%E -5.68%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.46%E -3.61%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 16:31
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -8.63%E -5.30%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -18.27%E -4.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.00%E -4.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-18 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.20%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-04-18 16:30
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.77%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-04-18 16:31
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-04-18 16:30