Language:English
Cádiz CF v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cádiz CF (Local)
Prediction 36.50%2.74fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.31%36.50%36.49%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.06%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 35.08%2.85fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%35.09%34.97%36.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.7540.82%38.35%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%28.41%28.54%29.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4233.33%31.20%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cádiz CF (Local): 36.50%; Las Palmas (Visit): 35.08%; Draw: 28.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -2.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.27%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.64%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.29%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -2.80%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -4.23%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.36%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.53%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -5.83%E -2.26%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.11%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -5.83%E -2.26%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.11%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.53%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -7.65%E -3.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 09:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 21:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -9.84%E -3.99%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -13.32%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -13.13%E -5.52%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -7.74%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.59%EV -11.33%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.46%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.97%EV -14.06%E -5.74%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.56%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -16.05%E -6.98%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.58% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |