Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cádiz CF (Local): 36.50%; Las Palmas (Visitante): 35.08%; Empate: 28.42%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.52. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.42, con un valor esperado de -2.80%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.27%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.64%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.29%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -2.80%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -4.23%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.36%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.53%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -5.83%E -2.26%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.11%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -5.83%E -2.26%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.11%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.53%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -7.65%E -3.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 09:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 21:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -9.84%E -3.99%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -13.32%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -13.13%E -5.52%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -7.74%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.59%EV -11.33%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 09:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-07 09:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.46%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.97%EV -14.06%E -5.74%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.56%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -16.05%E -6.98%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 14:15 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.63% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.58% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |