Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:15 UTC

Score final : Cádiz CF 0–1 Las Palmas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cádiz CF (Local)

Prévision 36.50%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.31%36.50%36.49%38.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.06%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.08%2.85cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.68%35.09%34.97%36.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.612.602.7540.82%38.35%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.42%3.52cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.820%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.67%28.41%28.54%29.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.4233.33%31.20%31.25%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cádiz CF (Local) : 36.50% ; Las Palmas (Visiteur) : 35.08% ; Match nul : 28.42%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.42, pour une espérance de -2.80% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -3.27%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 17:30
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.64%EV -4.37%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.29%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.07%EV -2.80%E -0.820%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 15:20
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.73%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -4.23%E -1.55%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.36%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 15:15
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.53%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 09:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.10%E -1.96%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -5.83%E -2.26%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.11%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -5.83%E -2.26%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.11%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.53%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -5.29%E -1.96%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -7.39%E -2.80%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -5.65%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -6.92%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:55
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.43%EV -7.65%E -3.02%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 09:08
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -8.02%E -3.18%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 09:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 17:30
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.09%E -3.09%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:24
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 21:17
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 21:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 21:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -8.75%E -3.50%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:15
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -9.48%E -3.82%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -9.84%E -3.99%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.04%E -2.66%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 19:15
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.57%E -4.32%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.30%E -4.65%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.55%E -4.14%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:05
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -12.40%E -5.17%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -13.32%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 12:51
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%EV -13.13%E -5.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -7.74%E -2.94%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.59%EV -11.33%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 09:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.30%E -4.92%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 09:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.46%EV -14.22%E -6.05%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.97%EV -14.06%E -5.74%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.56%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -16.05%E -6.98%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -8.79%E -3.38%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.63%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%3.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%4.0%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%4.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%4.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.10%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%4.1%2026-09-09 17:20
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%5.1%2026-09-09 17:35