Language:English
Burgos CF v Real Sociedad B
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Burgos CF (Local)
Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%48.44%48.38%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.871.901.9859.52%53.44%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Sociedad B (Visit)
Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV +6.00%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.46%22.97%23.03%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.074.004.6027.03%24.58%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.61%3.49fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%28.58%28.59%30.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.173.4033.33%31.29%31.50%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burgos CF (Local): 48.34%; Real Sociedad B (Visit): 23.04%; Draw: 28.61%. For Real Sociedad B (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -4.77%E -2.42%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV +0.932%E +0.213%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.92%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.40%E -8.80%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10%EV -15.89%E -9.13%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10%EV -15.89%E -9.13%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.92%EV -9.60%E -5.13%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -2.06%E -0.485%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.65%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 16:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -18.79%E -11.18%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.28%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.18%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.18%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.47%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.11%EV -13.47%E -7.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -9.60%E -5.13%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.59%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |