Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burgos CF v Real Sociedad B

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC

Score final : Burgos CF 2–2 Real Sociedad B

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Burgos CF (Local)

Prévision 48.34%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.90%48.44%48.38%51.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.871.901.9859.52%53.44%52.63%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Real Sociedad B (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV +6.00%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.46%22.97%23.03%24.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.074.004.6027.03%24.58%25.00%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.61%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.797%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.83%28.58%28.59%30.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.173.4033.33%31.29%31.50%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Burgos CF (Local) : 48.34% ; Real Sociedad B (Visiteur) : 23.04% ; Match nul : 28.61%. Pour Real Sociedad B (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.34. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.60, soit une espérance positive de +6.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:35
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -4.77%E -2.42%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV +0.932%E +0.213%K +0.276%G +0.003%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.92%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 16:50
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 16:35
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 16:35
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.40%E -8.80%K -20.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10%EV -15.89%E -9.13%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10%EV -15.89%E -9.13%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.92%EV -9.60%E -5.13%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -2.06%E -0.485%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:40
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.65%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 16:43
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -18.79%E -11.18%K -27.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-31 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.28%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 16:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.18%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.18%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 16:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.47%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:33
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.11%EV -13.47%E -7.52%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -9.60%E -5.13%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.59%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 16:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-31 16:35
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-08-31 16:55
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-08-31 16:55