语言:简体中文
Burgos CF v Real Sociedad B
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Burgos CF (主队)
预测 48.34%2.07公平赔率
EV -4.28%
优势 -2.16%
Kelly -4.37%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.98
博彩公司预测分布
46.90%48.44%48.38%51.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.871.901.9859.52%53.44%52.63%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Sociedad B (客队)
预测 23.04%4.34公平赔率
EV +6.00%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +1.67%
增长率 +0.100%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
20.46%22.97%23.03%24.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.074.004.6027.03%24.58%25.00%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.61%3.49公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -0.797%
Kelly -1.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.83%28.58%28.59%30.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.203.173.4033.33%31.29%31.50%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Burgos CF (主队)：48.34%；Real Sociedad B (客队)：23.04%；平局：28.61%。 对于“Real Sociedad B (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.34。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.60，对应+6.00%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +6.00%E +1.30%K +1.67%G +0.100% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -4.77%E -2.42%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV +0.932%E +0.213%K +0.276%G +0.003% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.92%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.52%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.86%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.62%EV -8.15%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -14.44%E -8.16%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV +0.241%E +0.055%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.95%EV -15.40%E -8.80%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10%EV -15.89%E -9.13%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.10%EV -15.89%E -9.13%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.68%EV -0.911%E -0.212%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.92%EV -9.60%E -5.13%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -2.06%E -0.485%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.12%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.22%E -0.766%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.65%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.16%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 16:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -18.79%E -11.18%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -4.28%E -2.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.71%E -0.797%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.73%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.18%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.18%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.98%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.47%EV -11.54%E -6.30%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -8.98%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.11%EV -13.47%E -7.52%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.43%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -10.09%E -5.42%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -9.60%E -5.13%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.59%E -3.62%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.67%E -4.01%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.74%E -3.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |