Language:English
Almería v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 67.25%1.49fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.45%67.17%67.33%69.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.361.361.4478.74%73.59%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 13.86%7.21fair odd
EV +10.92%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.170%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.50%13.93%13.72%15.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.866.788.0017.39%14.57%14.76%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.89%5.29fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.368%
Kelly +0.451%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.86%18.91%18.95%21.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.834.885.4025.00%20.69%20.51%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 67.25%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 13.86%; Draw: 18.89%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.21. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.47%EV -14.59%E -11.49%K -54.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -1.56%E -0.220%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.34%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.57%EV -2.25%E -0.319%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.09%EV -0.093%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.41%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -7.11%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.75%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.05%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.20%EV -24.46%E -6.11%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.06%EV -12.37%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.85%EV -4.63%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.48%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.37%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV +1.98%E +0.368%K +0.451%G +0.009% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.40%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.57%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -18.20%E -3.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV +0.096%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -20.28%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |