L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Almería v Real Valladolid CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 67.25%1.49cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -7.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.45%67.17%67.33%69.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.361.361.4478.74%73.59%73.53%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.86%7.21cote équitable
EV +10.92%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.170%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.50%13.93%13.72%15.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.866.788.0017.39%14.57%14.76%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.89%5.29cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.368%
Kelly +0.451%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.86%18.91%18.95%21.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.834.885.4025.00%20.69%20.51%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.47%EV -14.59%E -11.49%K -54.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -1.56%E -0.220%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.34%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.57%EV -2.25%E -0.319%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.09%EV -0.093%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.41%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -7.11%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.75%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.05%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.20%EV -24.46%E -6.11%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.06%EV -12.37%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.85%EV -4.63%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:18 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.48%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.37%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV +1.98%E +0.368%K +0.451%G +0.009% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.40%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.57%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -18.20%E -3.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV +0.096%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -20.28%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |