La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Almería v Real Valladolid CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Almería (Local)
Predicción 67.25%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -7.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.45%67.17%67.33%69.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.361.361.4478.74%73.59%73.53%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)
Predicción 13.86%7.21momio equitativo
EV +10.92%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.170%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.50%13.93%13.72%15.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.866.788.0017.39%14.57%14.76%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.89%5.29momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.368%
Kelly +0.451%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.86%18.91%18.95%21.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.834.885.4025.00%20.69%20.51%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.47%EV -14.59%E -11.49%K -54.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -1.56%E -0.220%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.34%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.57%EV -2.25%E -0.319%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.09%EV -0.093%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.41%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -7.11%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 65.75%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.05%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.20%EV -24.46%E -6.11%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.06%EV -12.37%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.85%EV -4.63%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:18 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.48%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.37%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV +1.98%E +0.368%K +0.451%G +0.009% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.40%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.57%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -18.20%E -3.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV +0.096%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -20.28%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |