مدرسة الاحتمالات

Almería v Real Valladolid CF

البداية: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Almería 1–0 Real Valladolid CF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Almería (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.25%1.49السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -2.20%
Kelly -7.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.45%67.17%67.33%69.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.361.361.4478.74%73.59%73.53%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Valladolid CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.86%7.21السعر العادل
EV +10.92%
الأفضلية +1.36%
Kelly +1.56%
النمو +0.170%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.50%13.93%13.72%15.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.756.866.788.0017.39%14.57%14.76%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.89%5.29السعر العادل
EV +1.98%
الأفضلية +0.368%
Kelly +0.451%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.86%18.91%18.95%21.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.834.885.4025.00%20.69%20.51%18.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 16:10
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 16:20
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +10.92%E +1.36%K +1.56%G +0.170%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 15:40
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 15:40
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.47%EV -14.59%E -11.49%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +3.99%E +0.532%K +0.613%G +0.024%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-31 15:39
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -1.56%E -0.220%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -3.68%E -0.722%K -0.898%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.34%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.57%EV -2.25%E -0.319%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.09%EV -0.093%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 16:20
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 16:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 16:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 16:20
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 16:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.95%E -0.421%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -5.72%E -0.841%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 16:20
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.41%E -0.950%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.21%E -6.83%K -26.33%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -7.11%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 16:00
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 16:00
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -6.52%E -4.69%K -16.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 16:00
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.58%E -9.67%K -41.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-31 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 65.75%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.05%EV -9.88%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.20%EV -24.46%E -6.11%K -8.15%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 16:20
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.06%EV -12.37%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.85%EV -4.63%E -0.916%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:18
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.51%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 16:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.01%E -3.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -13.34%E -2.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -7.20%E -5.21%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.24%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.48%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.37%EV -14.04%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -12.18%E -2.62%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.96%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV +1.98%E +0.368%K +0.451%G +0.009%9.8%2026-05-31 16:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.12%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.90%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 16:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.29%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.40%EV -13.25%E -10.27%K -45.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -16.81%E -2.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.11%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-31 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.57%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -18.20%E -3.08%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.08%EV +0.096%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -7.87%E -5.74%K -21.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.67%EV -20.28%E -3.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -8.40%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.10%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%0.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.46%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%0.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.88%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%0.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 70.03%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.34%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-05-31 16:10