Language:English
Almería v Málaga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Almería (Local)
Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%43.99%44.13%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.64%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.96%27.98%29.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.223.203.5233.90%31.02%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV -0.876%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%28.05%27.89%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.403.5533.33%30.19%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Almería (Local): 44.04%; Málaga (Visit): 28.04%; Draw: 27.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.876%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.11%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.50%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.68%EV -11.21%E -3.52%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 19:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-20 19:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.38%EV -10.60%E -5.22%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.47%EV -8.04%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-20 19:28 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -11.04%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -17.29%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |