L’École des cotesAlmería v Málaga
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Almería (Local)
Prévision 44.04%2.27cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.28%43.99%44.13%44.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.64%47.62%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Málaga (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.04%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.372%
Kelly -0.519%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.59%27.96%27.98%29.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.203.5233.90%31.02%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.92%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.876%
Avantage -0.247%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%28.05%27.89%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.403.5533.33%30.19%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.11%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.50%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.68%EV -11.21%E -3.52%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 19:17 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-20 19:23 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.38%EV -10.60%E -5.22%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.47%EV -8.04%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-20 19:28 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -11.04%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -17.29%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |