La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Almería v Málaga
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Almería (Casa)
Previsione 44.04%2.27quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.28%43.99%44.13%44.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.64%47.62%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Málaga (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.04%3.57quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.372%
Kelly -0.519%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.59%27.96%27.98%29.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.223.203.5233.90%31.02%31.25%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.92%3.58quota equa
EV -0.876%
Vantaggio -0.247%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.63%28.05%27.89%29.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.313.403.5533.33%30.19%29.41%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.11%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.50%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.68%EV -11.21%E -3.52%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 19:17 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-20 19:23 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.38%EV -10.60%E -5.22%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.47%EV -8.04%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-20 19:28 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -11.04%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -17.29%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |