مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Almería v Málaga
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Almería (المضيف)
التنبؤ 44.04%2.27السعر العادل
EV -2.67%
الأفضلية -1.21%
Kelly -2.21%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.28%43.99%44.13%44.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.102.102.2150.00%47.64%47.62%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Málaga (الضيف)
التنبؤ 28.04%3.57السعر العادل
EV -1.31%
الأفضلية -0.372%
Kelly -0.519%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.59%27.96%27.98%29.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.223.203.5233.90%31.02%31.25%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 27.92%3.58السعر العادل
EV -0.876%
الأفضلية -0.247%
Kelly -0.344%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.63%28.05%27.89%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.313.403.5533.33%30.19%29.41%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.84%EV -2.67%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.55%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.11%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -3.99%E -1.83%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.876%E -0.247%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.50%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -1.31%E -0.372%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.68%EV -11.21%E -3.52%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 19:17 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.27%E -0.649%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -1.87%E -0.534%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -3.67%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -14.49%E -4.75%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-20 19:23 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.23%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-20 19:22 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.38%EV -10.60%E -5.22%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.47%EV -8.04%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-20 19:28 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -11.04%E -5.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -17.29%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.08%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -10.65%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-20 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -13.44%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 1.9% | 2026-06-20 19:30 |