A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Almería v Las Palmas
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Almería (Local)
Previsão 51.89%1.93odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -4.70%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.21%51.82%51.95%52.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.781.781.8559.88%56.06%56.18%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Las Palmas (Visitante)
Previsão 23.44%4.27odd justa
EV +4.55%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescimento +0.060%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.46
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.32%23.52%23.38%25.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.883.884.4628.17%25.76%25.81%22.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 24.66%4.05odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.336%
Kelly -0.448%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.68%24.65%24.68%26.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.673.674.0029.41%27.22%27.21%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.32%EV +4.55%E +1.02%K +1.31%G +0.060% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.72%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.86%EV -1.08%E -0.256%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -2.58%E -0.652%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -2.72%E -0.655%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.74%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -13.34%E -7.99%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -16.14%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.99%E -2.16%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.34%E -0.336%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.34%EV -10.22%E -2.67%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.97%EV -11.70%E -3.27%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.57%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 16:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -5.55%E -3.05%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.81%E -0.977%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.37%EV -6.07%E -3.35%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.21%E -3.11%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.15%E -4.60%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.18%E -5.25%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.03%E -2.75%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -7.63%E -4.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.37%EV -12.30%E -7.28%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.46%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -14.91%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -6.59%E -3.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -9.98%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.66%EV -9.70%E -5.58%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -14.44%E -3.96%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.22%E -5.91%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%EV -8.67%E -4.92%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -16.78%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -12.44%E -3.50%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 16:30 |